Inference in Models with Adaptive Learning
8/09/2010

By Guillaume Chevillon, ESSEC



8/09/2010

Inference in Models with Adaptive Learning

By Guillaume Chevillon, ESSEC

The purpose of this paper is to study inference in structural equations involving expectations that are modeled using adaptive learning. A growing number of studies consider adaptive learning as an alternative to rational expectations. Structural models with adaptive learning are self-referential and their dynamics are considerably more complicated than the dynamics under rational expectations. As a result, little is known about the properties of structural estimation and inference in these models.

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