Inference in Models with Adaptive Learning
8/09/2010
By Guillaume Chevillon, ESSEC
By Guillaume Chevillon, ESSEC
The purpose of this paper is to study inference in structural equations involving expectations that are modeled using adaptive learning. A growing number of studies consider adaptive learning as an alternative to rational expectations. Structural models with adaptive learning are self-referential and their dynamics are considerably more complicated than the dynamics under rational expectations. As a result, little is known about the properties of structural estimation and inference in these models.